Fall 2018: Natural Hazards and Disasters


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Natural Hazards and Disasters

Courses: OEAS 250N (CRN 17463); class 3 credits; and OEAS 250N (CRN 17470), lab 1 credit
Course title: Natural Hazards and Disasters
Instructor: Dr. Hans-Peter Plag
Term: Fall 2018, August 28 - December 12, 2018
Time: Tuesdays, 4:20 PM - 7:00 PM (class)
  Tuesdays, 7:10 PM - 8:00 PM (lab)
Location: SRC 1000
Office Hours: Tuesdays, 2:00-4:00 PM and on request.

Lab 13: Final Exam Preparations

Lab Slides

The final exam will consider basic terms and concepts as well as four specific cases.

Basics Terms

The terms considered include:

  • Hazard, Disaster, and the links between them
  • Vulnerability and its role in determining the extent of the disaster
  • Probability of hazards; including probability density function
  • Risks, risk assessment, risk governance

An important question in modern times if whether the probabilities of some hazards are changing over time and, if so, why?

Specific Examples

The exam will consider four specific examples:

  • April 6, 2009 L’Aquila Earthquake (class 5)
  • Comparison of Hurricane Katrina and Typhoon Haiyan (class 9)
  • The 1974 Super Outbreak of Tornados (class 10)
  • Holocene and Post-Holocene: Leaving the Safe-Operating Space for Humanity, including modern climate change (classes 11 - 12)

For information on the four cases, please, look at the Lab slides and the slides of the classes indicated above.

Questions will relate to:

  • the hazard (earthquake, hurricane, tornado, climate change, extinction): general description of the type, the specific event;
  • the disaster: extent of damage and lives lost;
  • cascading impacts, if any;
  • the specific reasons for the extent of the disaster (what led to the disaster?);
  • particulars of the risk management cycle, in particular: risk assessment prior to the event, early warning; hazard mitigation, if any; impact mitigation, and recovery

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